The recent terror attack in Pahalgam, India, has brought into focus the desperate measures that Pakistan is willing to take in these desperate times. The attack, which claimed the lives of several Indian soldiers, has led to India taking strong diplomatic actions against Pakistan, including the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty, expulsion of Pakistani personnel from India, and closure of the Attari border post.
While Pakistan has officially denied any involvement in the attack, initial investigations and the larger geopolitical context suggest otherwise. Pakistan is currently facing a multitude of challenges that have put the country in dire straits. The withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan in 2021 has significantly reduced Pakistan’s leverage with the Americans, as well as its financial support.
Additionally, the Gulf states, which have historically provided financial assistance to Pakistan, have also shown reluctance to continue their support. China, another key ally of Pakistan, has grown impatient with the country due to stalled infrastructure projects and security concerns. The Taliban regime in Afghanistan, which was expected to provide strategic depth to Pakistan against India, has instead become a security threat.
Furthermore, Pakistan’s border with Iran has also been a source of tension, with recent incidents of violence and cross-border missile strikes. The combination of these factors has left Pakistan isolated and vulnerable in the region.
The Pahalgam attack is seen as a desperate attempt by Pakistan to assert its influence and divert attention from its internal and external challenges. However, the attack has only served to worsen Pakistan’s already precarious situation and further strain its relations with neighboring countries.
As India retaliates with diplomatic measures, the international community will be closely watching the developments in the region and the impact of Pakistan’s actions on regional stability.
